forced out of the northern Kharkiv province, SCOTUS Now Just Another Congressional Committee, Secret Chinese Police Stations in Europe Are 'Tip of the Iceberg', Trump's Attorney Just Blew Carroll Rape Case, King Charles Says Royals Require 'Acting Ability', Ukraine Will Regain 'Significant Territory' From Russia, Florida GOP Paves the Way to Help Ron DeSantis Challenge Trump. Its more motivated than it was in 2014. Yet that has become less likely as Moscow begins to face serious economic and political consequences from its great gambit. Another factor weighing against an all-out invasion is the argument that Putin can accomplish his primary goal of keeping Ukraine out of NATO and slowing its westward leaning with just his credible threat of military intervention. But she says more and more people are switching back to their own language and way of life. But it was a catastrophe for Russias long-term national interests. "The embarrassment is just going to keep growing over this," Laura Harth, the campaign director at Safeguard Defenders, told Newsweek. It seems to me that the majority of those promises have been forgotten now, and an ordinary Russia does not see the impact of the war in everyday life. The invasion of Ukraine has been rebuked across multiple fronts in the . Petrov told Newsweek that if Wagner isn't successful in Ukraine, the group "is likely to destabilize the domestic situation in Russia and spark a civil war. our Subscriber Agreement and by copyright law. This should change. Let us hypothetically assume, as many have, that Russia . A more realistic timeline, though, is that by fall, Russia could start "opening up to some solution other than just all-out military victory," Volker said. Tuesday, Feb. 15, 2022 | 8:46 a.m. MOSCOW While the U.S. warns that Russia could invade Ukraine any day, the drumbeat of war is all but unheard in . The Kremlin, long fearful of what Russia expert Dr Robert Horvath calls revolution contagion, acted fast. Then, in late 2013, when Ukraines then pro-Kremlin president Viktor Yanukovych refused to sign up to a trade association with the European Union, street protests in Kyiv erupted into what became known as the Maidan (after the citys central square where protesters set up barricades). Kremlin officials, meanwhile, have repeatedly stated Crimea and four additional Ukrainian territories Putin illegitimately annexed in September must be considered part of Russia in any peace negotiations. Battle group deployments at the Pogonovo training area in Voronezh, Russia, near Ukraine on January 19.Credit:Maxar Technologies. The U.S. governments process for granting clearance is geared toward weeding out individuals with financial problems, suspicious overseas ties, a pattern of drug use, or disqualifying criminal records. A completed invasion of western Ukraine would see around 100,000 Russian troops (the original force, less casualties, plus reinforcements) trying to occupy and dominate 250,000 square kilometres, alongside a dozen major towns, plus the 200,000 square kilometres of Ukraine east of the Dnieper captured during the first phase of the invasion . Some analysts defied these . In terms of individual components we have more modern weapons than those of NATO countries & in case of a threat to the territories of our country,to protect Russia & our people, we will certainly use all means at our disposal.-Russian President Vladimir Putin pic.twitter.com/wJDQ2SNLWA. ", Putin and Russian officials have hinted for months at the prospect of the use of nuclear weapons. An Australian bar put up a sign advertising betting on whether Russia would successfully invade Ukraine as hundreds are killed and thousands flee the war. FTSE futures are 0.8% up. (Its unacceptable, but there is no choice but to watch two states deciding the destiny of a third one, says Barandiy). Russia could invade Ukraine, but Putin might be afraid of the backlash, says ex-U.S. ambassador. He has now lost feeling in both feet and . Eurovision 2023 dates and times. Shares of Facebook parent Meta surged 14%. We asked military experts to assess the strengths of Ukraine and Russia should Russia invade. The biggest: Neither side is ready to stop . Conflict Disinformation. Three experts who felt in the beginning stages of the war that Ukraine would win spoke to Newsweek about their current predictions. Even before talks had begun with the West this month, the Kremlin was emptying its Ukrainian embassy and issuing more than 500,000 passports to Russian separatists fighting in Ukrainian territory (so it can claim to be coming to the defence of its citizens if it invades). ", Volker said that when he made his prediction last year in a study published by the Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA), where he is a distinguished fellow, he was thinking of a Ukraine win "more in terms of not being occupied by Russia.". "Just want to say that I moved from Kyiv to Lviv on Feb 13 /entirely/ thanks to this prediction thread and the Metaculus estimates. President Joe Biden said Friday that he will move US troops to NATO allies in Eastern Europe in the "near term," marking a new phase in the US response to Russia's escalation on the Ukrainian . On October 1 Ramzan Kadyrov, the pro-Putin strongman who runs Russia's Chechen Republic, called for "low-yield nuclear weapons" to be used against Ukraine. . The rebellion revealed a deep rupture in Ukrainian society between those still deeply tied to Russia and those eager to throw off the old Soviet legacy to embrace opportunities from the West. And he says the ageing autocrat could use a distraction right now. I think that the No. Even if the West does not help Ukraine now, Ukrainians will still rise, she says. Perhaps the withdrawal announcement shows that Putin agrees the cost and risks would be high even if Russia succeeded. For Russia to create havoc in Ukraine, it may not need to launch an all-out invasion. .css-16c7pto-SnippetSignInLink{-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;cursor:pointer;}Sign In, Copyright 2023 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved, Save up to $15 with TurboTax coupon May 2023, Epic Bundle - 3x Expert Stock Recommendations, 15% Off DIY Online Tax Filing Services | H&R Block Coupon Code, 10% TopResume Discount Code for expert resume-writing services, Groupon Promo Code - 30% Off Activities, Dining, More. In order to better understand the ludicrous improbability of this series of events, we've dug up some odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook that are priced with a 0.1 percent implied probability, which is usually about as long as you can find. "They have very much improved every aspect of what was in 2014 a rotten organization and can really support troops in the field. It turned a kindred people into an adversary, and guaranteed Ukraines Western trajectory.. Ukraine says the cyber attack that knocked its government websites offline this month came from Russia, Microsoft has issued a warning more malware is in place in the countrys networks, and on January 10, Ukraine arrested a Russian military intelligence agent allegedly trying to recruit others into terrorist attacks on the Ukrainian city of Odessa. As the war in Ukraine rages and with Kyiv's forces likely to begin a major offensive any day now, . It'd be like the fourth plane on 9/11 where the passengers knew by then that this was a big terrorist attack, and they took action. The US said in January it gathered intelligence of false flag missions operatives trained in urban warfare dispatched to sabotage Russias own proxy forces, and so provide Moscow with a cause for war. By Paul Kirby. It is time to increase allied forces presence in the alliances eastern flank both as measures of defence and deterrence.. In the past six weeks, Russia has increased its military deployments surrounding Ukraine, threatening action if the United States . Sergui BOBOK (AFP) The day after Russia invaded Ukraine, someone wrote a message of gratitude on an internet forum. Since the latest uptick in tension, emergency talks between the West and Russia have resumed. An acquisition of the beleaguered bank could carry costs well beyond the initial sticker price. His morning newsletter, Jamie McIntyres Daily on Defense, is free and available by email subscription at dailyondefense.com. While Ukraine has been calling on the West for help, the intensity of the attention from world leaders has also seen Zelensky move to dampen fears of an impeding invasion domestically, amid concerns the drums of war will spook investors and create panic). Understanding the conflict one year on. There are still deep cultural ties to Russia, but most Ukrainians consider themselves a separate people. Many military experts with decades of experience even said Ukraine could fall within a matter of days, not weeks. "But if NATO can limit the systems the Russians are able to use, then this could become very slow and very nasty for both sides," the former soldier said. "For the purpose of this market's resolution, determination as to whether a detonation was nuclear will be made by a preponderance of credible reporting.". His comments follow days of diplomatic talks and a deadlock on . Top editors give you the stories you want delivered right to your inbox each weekday. Ukraine: US puts 8,500 troops on alert to deploy to bolster Nato video, We dont have a Titanic here: Ukraine plays down threat of Russian invasion, Outrage as Bolsonaro confirms Russia trip despite Ukraine crisis, Putin accuses Nato of ignoring Russias concerns as Ukraine crisis simmers, UKfirms warned over possible Russian cyber-attacks amid Ukraine crisis, Russia remains open but not optimistic over Ukraine talks, Five dead in Ukraine after national guardsman opens fire at military factory, USholds firm on Ukraines right to join Nato in its response to Russian demands, Johnson hints German reliance on Russian gas could affect Ukraine response, USputs 8,500 troops on heightened alert amid fears over Ukraine. Updated January 17, 2022 / Original January 14, 2022 Order Reprints Published Mon, Jan 24 2022 6:11 AM EST Updated Mon, Jan 24 2022 8:04 AM EST. So many wars are started by accident, particularly when someone decides to send a patrol close to enemy lines. Dow Jones Reprints at 1-800-843-0008 or visit www.djreprints.com. US officials have, however, said that America is willing to deal with Russia on new arrangements around military exercises and tougher rules on nuclear weapons, which all sides still agree are off-limits). He can't afford it.. In a statement released alongside the Treasury's quarterly borrowing estimates, Assistant Secretary for Economic Policy Ben Harris said that inflationary pressures should ease in 2022 due to weaker demand for goods, easing supply bottlenecks and a receding coronavirus pandemic. Russia is "very likely" to invade Ukraine and might only be deterred by "enormous sanctions", the chair of the US House intelligence committee said on Sunday. While it might seem a forgone conclusion that Russias more extensive, better-equipped military and superior airpower would quickly prevail in a blitzkrieg strike across the border, the war could be bloody and costly. European STOXX and Dax futures are rising 1.3% and 1.1%, respectively. Nato said some member countries would put troops on standby and deploy ships and fighter jets to the region as a military conflict in Ukraine appears increasingly likely. Despite working for the KGB as a foreign intelligence officer for 16 years, Putin, who climbed to the rank of lieutenant colonel, resigned in 1991 to pursue a career in politics. Surprise visits, probes and detentions come just months after Beijings open-for-business message to global investors. It was Feb. 24. As Russia-Ukraine Tensions Heat Up, Beaten-Up Russian Stocks and Currency May Be Hard to Resist. That could include more prisoner swaps and another ceasefire. The poisoning and jailing of his main critic Alexei Navalny, as well as Navalnys exposes on Putin-era corruption, has drawn the wrong attention. Were sorry, this feature is currently unavailable. The US and its allies have also vowed to remove Russian banks from the SWIFT network as the international community continues to slap Russia with sanctions. Russia's ruble and Ukraine's hryvnia have staged a recovery in recent days; if investors are wrong, an outbreak of hostilities could mean big losses By Anna Hirtenstein Updated Feb. 11, 2022 2 . Russia this week began huge military exercises in Crimea and along the border with Ukraine, using more than 100,000 troops backed by heavy armor, airpower, and naval units in the Black Sea in what many feared was a prelude to an invasion of Ukraine. By clicking Sign up, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider (Getty Images photo / Chris McGrath) Stay up to date with what you want to know. As for continued success in the war, Marran said, such a prospect "is definitely doable with the continuous high morale of the Ukraine army and with the political and material support of the West. Ukraine now has seven years of experience fighting in the Russian-speaking breakaway republic of Donbass, with losses of nearly 10,000 troops in that period. It was a series of nuclear tests conducted between May 28 and October 7, 1957, at the Nevada Test Site. an analysis Some of our talented contributors choose to remain anonymous but they help to comprise a talented team of writers at VegasOdds.com, bringing you sports news and headlines from different views and cultures across the globe, sharing the passion we all have for enjoying sports together. For now, a firmer session appears to lie ahead. Crowds of people celebrate the New Year in Kyiv, Ukraine, on Jan. 1, 2021.Credit:AP/Efrem Lukatsky. U.S. inflationary pressures should ease in 2022 due to weaker demand for goods, easing supply bottlenecks and a receding coronavirus pandemic, a U.S. Treasury's top economist said. "Ukraine is doing fine, taking into account all the circumstances.". Volker told Newsweek that after getting to know the Ukrainian people, he found it "unimaginable" that they would ever surrender to Russia, despite being overwhelmingly mismatched militarily. Putin has come to think Biden is weak (and preoccupied with domestic problems), says Sussex. That number happens to be same as the estimated Russian troops massed at the Ukrainian border while President . To quote ECB boss Christine Lagarde, a 2022 rate rise does seem "very unlikely". Ukraine is in yellow. Feb 1 - Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of markets brought to you by Reuters reporters. "We expect, in the worst case, a major global, rather than local, issue could lead to significant volatility in risk assets", the Amundi notes reads. Its part of a so-called Porcupine strategy, laying down resistance as far across Ukraine as possible to make the country so spiky with threats it becomes too difficult for Russia to swallow. But Russian spends over $65 billion and hosts a much larger and more modern series of capabilities that would make long-term resistance nearly impossible. As of this month, the United States estimates Russia has 100,000 troops on Ukraine's eastern border; Ukrainian officials put the figure in the range of 127,000. (1205 GMT). In terms of single stocks, Swiss bank UBS (UBSG.S) is the top performer, with shares up 6% after posting its best annual profit since 2006. Ukrainian troops outside Donetsk, February 1, 2022. While markets are certainly not pricing war breaking out imminently, the likely outcome of the standoff remains uncertain. Or perhaps that's just what Putin wants Ukraine to think, for now. An estimated 100,000 Ukrainians have fled their homes, with many trying to cross into neighbouring countries, mainly Moldova and Romania. Although Putin then served as prime minister again from 2008 to 2012 under Dmitry Medvedev, he returned to the presidency in 2012 via election and was reelected in 2018. Sussex says there has certainly been an evolution in approach from the West on public communication with Russia. FTSE futures are 0.8% up. Why? Comedian Volodymyr Zelensky starred in the popular Servant of the People before he was elected Ukraines president.Credit:Kvartal 95. By Bill Speros Mar 3rd, 2022 3:36 PM CST . We don't know whether President Putin has made the decision to invade, said Secretary of State Antony Blinken Copyright 2023 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Its skills and equipment are vastly improved. To Putin, Ukraine is still part of Russia and it cannot fall to the West. There are precedents. Do they think well just sit idly by?, During Montenegros bid to join NATO, the tiny nation accused the Kremlin of involvement in a 2016 failed coup and assassination plot against its prime minister. Russian officials who have overseen the buildup are now accusing the west of provoking a crisis. Considering how many more missiles Russia has the "idea of an impenetrable shield" against them is "just a fantasy," according to Laura Grego, an MIT academic who co-chaired the report writing team. ", "Ukraine is not free until all the occupied territories, including Crimea, is returned to Ukraine," Mirran said. Plus, Russia no longer enjoys the element of surprise. Annexing Crimea in 2014 became a kind of revenge for the perceived wrongs done to Russia by the West. They believe Kremlin saboteurs have already infiltrated Ukraine to sow violence and create a pretext to roll in troops, as Russian state television blasts fake news of a Ukrainian plot against Russia, and Microsoft warns of more malware lying in wait inside Ukrainian networks. The biggest: Neither Ukraine nor Russia is ready to . Ukrainians have no lack of motivation to fight Russians, and they've been fighting along that front for seven years," the NATO official said. The world is still reeling from the pandemic and US President Joe Biden has just overseen a messy withdrawal from Afghanistan. Photos of the "shameful" sign from The Deck in Shepparton listing betting odds on the outcome of Russia invading the Ukraine circulated on social media over the weekend.. On Sunday, the bar and restaurant posted an apology to its Facebook page, saying it was an "extremely . We LOVE giving free expert picks to our awesome readers that subscribe below: Your newsletter registration has been successfully completed! In today's video, I discuss the overall stock market outlook for 2022 and why long-term investing in growth stocks works over time. Russia's joint exercises with ally Belarus and other drills near Ukraine have fanned fears Russia may be poised to invade its neighbour. The West wont accept a Russian sphere of influence, says Sussex. US Secretary of State Antony Blinken has accused Russia of pushing a false narrative that it itself is under threat from Ukraine and NATO to justify its troops at the border. And theyve been making the army learn all this propaganda too, he says. ", "Russia could end the war tomorrow," he added. To put what's happened to the Maple Leafs lately in context, everything you see below is approximately 10 . You know, it's reasonable to ask, 'Why would NATO invite a country into the alliance that's already at war with Russia?' Javelins are high-tech weapons designed specifically to fight advanced Russian battle tanks. With ECB rate rise bets piling up and four-five Fed rate hikes discounted already for 2022, the euro bounced off 19-month lows against the greenback and German bond yields rose to the highest since 2019. Since that war broke out, about 15,000 people have been killed, including 298 passengers on commercial flight MH17 that was shot down during the fighting in July 2014 (38 of them Australian citizens and residents). In 2008, America lobbied to let Ukraine and Georgia into the alliance but was blocked by Germany. Credit:AP. CIA Director William J. Burns rushed to Moscow at the beginning of the month to warn the Russians that an invasion of Ukraine would shatter the Russian economy and void any hope of rapprochement . Indeed, all minds might be on the Kremlin, trying to anticipate Putins next move, but eastern Europe is looking just as anxiously at the US. But this time the White House is taking nothing from the Russians at face value. The threat of Russias assault on Ukraine, which exists solely in the fevered minds of the west, is being taken advantage of to rationalise the alliances relevance and willingness to give protection to its allies, said the Russian deputy foreign minister, Alexander Grushko. This is for your past, present and future.. This is happening because of the actions of Nato and the United States and the information they release.. You can share your thoughts with us at markets.research@thomsonreuters.com, TALKING ABOUT UKRAINE, WHAT ARE THE ODDS? 'Please don't take it out on our front of house staff. And Ukraine is not a helpless hostage. The signs are there on the ground, and they could be genuine preparation or pure theatre or a little of both. If you'd like some expert background on an issue or a news event, drop us a line at explainers@smh.com.au or explainers@theage.com.au. A Russian invasion of Ukraine would be a humanitarian catastrophe and a disaster for Ukraine, for Russia, for Europe and the world, says Horvath. The vessel, Advantage Sweet, is operated by a Turkish company and was moving product from Kuwait to Houston. That hasn't shaken markets' conviction any, with a RBA rate rise priced for as early as May. Ukrainian troops held off an invasion of capital city Kyiv overnightas Russian forces renewed their assault under the cover of darkness, pounding the capital with artillery and cruise missiles. European stocks are trading higher with all the top regional bourses in positive territory, rebounding from a gloomy January, after some optimism from the U.S. boosted global equities. The Priscilla nuclear test, part of Operation Plumbbob, 25th June 1957. But if the pipeline opens and war hasnt come, one of the last levers to pull Russia back from conflict will be gone. The unintended blowback could be a galvanized NATO alliance, said Thompson, which would be motivated to increase military spending to stiffen defense against a revanchist Russia. Much would depend on the scale of any incursion and Amundi believes the Russian equity market is still pricing some sort of escalation going further. The Russian President has made no secret of his imperial ambitions to reclaim the old Soviet states, Besemeres says. And Moscows public demands that Nato clear out of eastern and central Europe have backfired as the threat of war has increased the demands for deployments closer to Russias borders. The sign erected outside The Deck in . Speaking to his citizens on the morning of September 21, Russian state TV broadcast Putin addressing the nation and seemingly issuing the West, including the United States of America, with a worrying threat. Also complicating the picture is the major Russian pipeline Nord Stream 2, which runs under the Baltic Sea to carry gas to Europe. Experts said Putin entered the conflict with some very clear political goals: push back . "Ukraine has no other option but emerge as victorious," Marran said. Photos by SERGEI SUPINSKY/AFP/Getty Images, SCOTUS Now Just Another Congressional Committee, Secret Chinese Police Stations in Europe Are 'Tip of the Iceberg', Trump's Attorney Just Blew Carroll Rape Case, King Charles Says Royals Require 'Acting Ability', Ukraine Will Regain 'Significant Territory' From Russia, Florida GOP Paves the Way to Help Ron DeSantis Challenge Trump. Although it is not exactly known how either country is faring in this tragic war, Russia is certainly the more aggressive and following a recent national broadcast made by Putin, tensions do not look like easing anytime soon. As Zelensky gained success on the battlefield, he stepped up his demands in recent months of Ukraine's Crimean peninsula to no longer being recognized as part of Russia. Moscow promised a "harsh reaction" after Polish authorities seized a building near Russia's embassy in Warsaw the serves children of diplomats. Anastasia Chernysheva began sharing images of her cakes on social media soon after Russia's invasion of Ukraine last year. No one is offering any guarantees, but a lot of the smart money in Washington is betting that if Russian President Vladimir Putin is clear-eyed about the ramifications of invading Ukraine, odds are hell blink. As Russia has suffered battlefield reverses . In 2019, in a strange case of life imitating art, the star of a popular TV comedy about an everyday man becoming the Ukrainian president was himself actually elected president of Ukraine. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky cautiously welcomed the development. A similar drama may play out in Europe, where markets are wagering the European Central Bank will raise interest rates by 10 basis points, almost three times this year. The full 2022 schedule and track locations for Formula 1, along with the latest betting odds, race results and standings as Max Verstappen, Sergio Perez and Charles Leclerc battle it out for the . Ukrainian officials say that Moscow is stepping up a destabilization campaign involving cyberattacks, economic . I think that's probably the extent of military action, said Stravidis. An image taken from video provided by the Russian defence ministry press service of a Russian military vehicle en route to military drills in Belarus. Chances are euro area price growth will overrun the ECB's 3.2% average forecast for this year. Polymarket, a cryptocurrency betting site, is currently taking bets on "Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023?". Ukraines military has dramatically improved in the almost eight years since the Crimea annexation, argues Luke Coffey,a foreign policy expert at the Heritage Foundation. But if Russia were to invade, how likely would it be that it could "win"? Yet, the global response so far may also have been a surprise for the Russian leader . US officials believe Russian President Vladimir Putin has decided to invade Ukraine and an attack could take place as soon as next week, as National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan told Americans . Some of the cakes were decorated in the yellow and blue of the Ukrainian . https://www.wsj.com/articles/investors-bet-ukraine-russia-war-will-be-averted-11644575137. And for UBS it's time to consider ways to hedge. Vladimir Putin's Ukraine War is a blueprint for genocide. Hes committed atrocities in Syria., And Horvath believes Putins motives are less about Russias interests than his own. Russia's Wagner group fighting in Sudan and patrolling evacuation port as UK citizens flee 28 April, 2023 Russian anarchist leader codenamed 'Lion' killed fighting for Ukraine 28 April, 2023 . Major stock indexes closed higher, with the Nasdaq advancing 2.4% and the Dow gaining more than 500 points. BETTING ON A "VERY UNLIKELY" ECB RATE MOVE (0820 GMT. But he would face little domestic blowback from ordering a drawdown and could claim he had taken the first step to avoid a devastating conflict. Putins concession may be nothing more than not invading Ukraine. German coach Markus Gisdol quit his job as coach of Russian soccer club Lokomotiv Moscow on Tuesday in protest at Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Read the original article on Business Insider TRENDING Retaliatory sanctions from the West after Crimea stung, but NATO (including its key member the US) did not send troops to Ukraines defence, and many experts say Putin was emboldened. The fact the U.S. has taken such a strong position and coordinated that position with our European allies and partners makes the risk for Moscow much larger. Clearly adamant that his tactics are for the good of his country, not only did Putin state that an additional 300,000 Russian military reserves have been called up, but the 69-year-old also confirmed his willingness to unleash nuclear weapons on his enemies and made assurances that his threat was not a bluff. Ukraine "is a country that's not going to go away," he said. Marran, former director general of the Estonian Foreign Intelligence Service, also forecast a Ukrainian victory in an interview with the online New Lines Magazine a few days after the invasion. Since his landslide win, Volodymyr Zelensky has had mixed reviews, praised for some elements of his pandemic response. Ukrainian language and traditions were largely destroyed during the countrys long years under foreign powers, says Kyiv-based artist Hanna Kovalska. But the official said Russia could also initiate actions against Nato members . "But then the Ukrainians will go on the counteroffensive with this new Western armor that they're getting. Reuters provides business, financial, national and international news to professionals via desktop terminals, the world's media organizations, industry events and directly to consumers. Within days, Putins little green men (soldiers without insignia) were invading Crimea in unmarked tanks. But, Kovalaska says, his promises to clean up corruption in Ukrainian politics and end the war with Russian separatists are so far unfulfilled the miracle has not happened and his popularity is now slumping. The history of Russia is the history of imperial expansion, says the ANUs Kyle Wilson, a former diplomat to Moscow. In a sign of the evolving tone from Russias neighbours, in early January, NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said the organisation would engage in talks with Russia in good faith, but warned: We have troops, we have forces We have the plans to be able to defend, protect all allies to make sure that we preserve peace in Europe.. Ukraine has been fighting in Donbass for seven years. These military factors will affect both Biden's and Putin's thinking in the coming days of the continuing crisis.
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