Keep in mind that the projections may be subject to large revisions in the future as new information impacts the outlook. The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates near zero through 2026. This data is critical for government programs, policies, and decision-making. Population: Total Population National Ranking Population Projections In-Migration 2017 Net Migration 2017 Educational Attainment 2017 Age 2018 Household income 2018 Race & Ethnicity Other Economic Indicators: Real GDP Growth Loading. The average weekly wage in the Phoenix MSA for 2018was $1,038and the average annual wage in the Phoenix MSA was $53,966, putting the MSA in the top 20% of large regions nationally. Please check your download folder. Methodology To find the 25 popular cities in the world that would be most impacted by climate change in the next 20-30 years, 24/7 Wall St. reviewed a study, 2050 Climate Change City Index . Normally, between 67 and 70 percent of Arizona's population lives in Phoenix. Water resources and other environmental concerns will also have an important influence on growth in coming decades. This report examines historical and projected life expectancy in the United States and explores differences between the native and foreign-born populations. Prior series based on the 2010 Census were released in 2012 and 2014. Assessing the Year of Naturalization Data in the ACS. Grandparents Still Work to Support Grandchildren. Fastest-Growing Cities Are Still in the West and South, Survey of Income and Program Participation (SIPP), population estimates for cities and towns, Percentage Change of Housing Units by State Map, release estimates of the July 1, 2021, population, www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/about/schedule.html, www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/technical-documentation/methodology.html. As a Premium user you get access to background information and details about the release of this statistic. Official websites use .gov The sixth-fastest-growing area was Fort Myers, Florida (6.8%), followed by Casa Grande, Arizona (6.2%); Maricopa, Arizona (6.1%); North Port, Florida (5.5%); Spring Hill, Tennessee (5.4%); Goodyear, Arizona (5.4%); and Port St. Lucie, Florida (5.2%). Projected total population, components of population change, population by sex and age group, population by sex and single year of age for age group 19 and younger, population by race and Hispanic origin: Arizona Arizona Medium Series Arizona Low Series Arizona High Series Apache County Apache Medium Series Apache Low Series Apache High Series Indeed, by 2050, net migration is forecast to be responsible for all state population increase. George W. Hammond directs the Economic and Business Research Center in the Eller College of Management. The current metro area population of Phoenix in 2023 is 4,717,000, a 1.4% increase from 2022. The population of Arizona in 2020 was 7,179,943, a 1.53% decline from 2019. Those towns are not getting worse, they're getting better. Business Solutions including all features. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites. As Exhibit 1 shows, state job gains rebound strongly from the COVID-19 recession, then decelerate to just over 1.0% per year by 2050. Explore census data with visualizations and view tutorials. The MAG Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) area is 10,654 square miles and consists of 27 cities and towns, three Native American Indian Communities, all of Maricopa County, and portions of Pinal County. Today's video focuses on 2050 projections for the State of ARIZONA. 5503 0 obj <>/Filter/FlateDecode/ID[<0E887F2CD07A3443B32ADA77F6555C9C><24CF5E73CBEE3541BF57F95AD59EC46E>]/Index[5495 19]/Info 5494 0 R/Length 60/Prev 269870/Root 5496 0 R/Size 5514/Type/XRef/W[1 2 1]>>stream ) or https:// means youve safely connected to the .gov website. December 6, 2021 View Ellers 2021 Economic Outlook event, featuring EBRC director George Hammond and former Chase chief economist Anthony Chan. The seven cities that passed the 50,000 population mark were Kyle, Texas (51,789); Burleson, Texas (51,618); Little Elm, Texas (51,042); Lincoln, California (50,649); Westfield, Indiana (50,630); Newark, Ohio (50,383); and Jeffersonville, Indiana (50,315). A paid subscription is required for full access. Living Longer: Historical and Projected Life Expectancy in the U.S. This data is critical for government programs, policies, and decision-making. The purpose of this document is to present information on how the results of the 2009 National Population Projections vary according to different net international migration assumptions and compare to the 2008 National Population Projections in terms of population size and growth, age structure, and race and Hispanic origin distribution. All rights reserved. During the next 30 years, Arizona population is forecast to rise by 2.81 million, hitting 10.1 million by 2050. Secure .gov websites use HTTPS Failure to invest in human capital accumulation will make it very difficult for the state to eliminate the income gap with the nation. Copyright 2022 The Arizona Board of Regents on behalf of The University of Arizona. Contact Dr. George Hammond at ghammond@arizona.edu. The pessimistic scenario assumes a somewhat slower, more prolonged recovery. Arizonas job-population ratio rises during the next 30 years, reaching 44.1% by 2050. Similarly, the state needs to invest in public infrastructure, like highways and roads, water and sewer, telecommunications, airports, and border ports of entry, to ensure that the state is competitive around the U.S. and globally. The July 2020 forecast from IHS Markit underpins the state projections. Demographics will weigh on growth during the next 30 years, as natural increase shrinks as a source of population gains. You need a Statista Account for unlimited access. The MSA continues to show stronger annual growth than the state as well, and is expected to continue this growth rate through at least 2050. The baseline forecast assumes that the current surge in the outbreak is contained quickly and that there is no major resurgence in the fall/winter. Browse our topics and subtopics to find information and data. If you think it's hot now, just wait: Some climate researchers predict Arizona will be unlivable by 2050. To sign up for updates please enter your email address. The South and West also contained the top 15 cities with the largest numeric gains 11 in the South and four in the West. Official websites use .gov Keep in mind that the projections may be subject to large revisions in the future as new information impacts the outlook. A lock ( Backlinks from other websites and blogs are the lifeblood of our site and are our primary source of new traffic. Innovation is the main driver and it depends in part on investments in human capital, primarily education. (2019). The top 15 largest cities remained the same as in 2020 although more than half experienced decreases in their population between 2020 and 2021: New York, New York (-305,465); Los Angeles, California (-40,537); Chicago, Illinois (-45,175); Houston, Texas (-11,777); Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (-24,754); San Diego, California (-3,783); Dallas, Texas (-14,777); San Jose, California (-27,419); and Indianapolis, Indiana (-5,343). An official website of the United States government. To sign up for updates please enter your email address. From March through August 8, unemployment insurance alone has injected $8.7 billion into the Arizona economy. These assumptions generate a continued gradual recovery in Arizona through the second half of 2020 and into 2021. Learn more about how Statista can support your business. The states tax and regulatory structure also needs to be competitive so that investment in private physical capital, like office buildings, machinery, and equipment, is not deterred from locating in the state. The long-run outlook for the state is strong. About 1.3 million grandparents in the labor force are responsible for most of the basic care of coresident grandchildren under age 18. Browse our topics and subtopics to find information and data. 877-861-2010 (U.S. and Canada only) 5513 0 obj <>stream Once the pandemic is over, the state will once again consistently generate robust job, outlook, and population gains. Arizonas per capita personal income gap with the U.S. is expected to decline from -18.4% in 2019 to -13.0% by 2050. This paper presents projections of what the population speaking a language other than English might look like in 2020. The annual average 2018non-farm employment for the Phoenix MSA was estimated at 2.1million, which makes up 74% of the states employment. At this point, possible long-term impacts are speculative at best. Overall, that implies that Arizona has replaced 46.4% of the jobs lost from February to April. On the other hand, of the 19,494 incorporated places in the United States, more than 75% had fewer than 5,000 people.. hbbd``b`fs%`A\ $g`bec`$&@ 3B Under those assumptions, the state continues to recover gradually, with job, income, population, and sales growth continuing. The Climate Explorer provides interactive graphs and maps showing past and projected climate conditions for counties and county-equivalents across the United States. These data result from a survey of establishments and exclude agricultural workers and the self-employed. Access demographic, economic and population data from the U.S. Census Bureau. Show publisher information These data did not paint such a rosy picture in June. Chart and table of population level and growth rate for the state of Arizona from 1900 to 2022. The population of Arizona in 2022 was 7,359,197, a 1.3% increase from 2021. The forecast assumes that the current executive order affecting activity at bars, indoor gyms, indoor movie theaters, and other activities, expires in August. 2017 National Population Projections Datasets, 2017 National Population Projections: Methodology and Assumptions, 2017 National Population Projections Alternative Scenarios: Methodology and Assumptions, Survey of Income and Program Participation (SIPP), 2017 National Populations Projections Tables: Alternative Scenarios, Census Bureau application programming interface, 2017 National Population Projections Tables: Main Series, 2017 National Population Projections Tables: Alternative Scenarios. Arizona's per capita personal income gap with the U.S. is expected to decline from -18.4% in 2019 to -13.0% by 2050. If you use our chart images on your site or blog, we ask that you provide attribution via a link back to this page. Personal Income Compare Western States and U.S. Unemployment Rate, SA Compare Western States and U.S. Register Now for the 2023 Eller Breakfast with the Arizona Personal Income Growth Ended 2022 on a High Maricopa County Leads the Nation in Population Growth. Nonfarm employment in the state bounced back during May and June, with over-the-month gains of 62,900 and 73,800, respectively. Source: Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity. The forecast calls for employment to return to its first quarter 2020 level by the second quarter of 2021. Please check your download folder. Facebook: quarterly number of MAU (monthly active users) worldwide 2008-2022, Quarterly smartphone market share worldwide by vendor 2009-2022, Number of apps available in leading app stores Q3 2022, Profit from additional features with an Employee Account. Access demographic, economic and population data from the U.S. Census Bureau. The Phoenix MSA collected $4.7billion in sales tax revenue, which is 72% of the total sales tax collected by the state in FY 2019. Need more information about the outlook for Arizona, Phoenix, and Tucson? A lock ( Accessed May 01, 2023. https://www.statista.com/statistics/312714/us-projected-state-population-by-state/. Values have been rounded. hb```RfV~ !GCqyKg_HuV4CG:%?g`(u;wm qGF@p4u0d Q[[B@[cFP@f@DU@ 9Wj`rjgVj(P2c @. The annual growth rate of 1.0% from 2020 to 2021 increased slightly from 0.8% in the 2019 to 2020 period. It is safe to say, however, that the more prevalent the virus becomes and the longer it takes to develop therapeutics and a vaccine, the larger and more extensive the long-term impact will be. The state also adds 1.58 million jobs and $343 billion in real personal income during the forecast period. Overview and forecasts on trending topics, Industry and market insights and forecasts, Key figures and rankings about companies and products, Consumer and brand insights and preferences in various industries, Detailed information about political and social topics, All key figures about countries and regions, Market forecast and expert KPIs for 600+ segments in 150+ countries, Insights on consumer attitudes and behavior worldwide, Business information on 70m+ public and private companies, Detailed information for 35,000+ online stores and marketplaces. During the next 30 years, Arizona population is forecast to rise by 2.81 million, hitting 10.1 million by 2050. The baseline forecast assumes that the current surge in the spread of the coronavirus is contained quickly and that there is no major resurgence in the fall. The statistics released today cover all local functioning governmental units, including incorporated places (like cities and towns), minor civil divisions (such as townships), and consolidated cities (government units for which the functions of an incorporated place and its parent county have merged). Explore census data with visualizations and view tutorials. February 11, 2019. The long-run outlook for the state is strong. University of Virginia (Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service). Keep in mind that the nonfarm payroll employment data reflect the number of jobs on payrolls of establishments during the pay period including the 12th of the month. A Changing Nation: Population Projections. The population of Arizona in 2019 was 7,291,843, a 1.78% increase from 2018. Income growth is forecast to slow to 2.8% next year, as the fiscal stimulus is replaced by organic income gains. The states with the fewest housing units were Wyoming (274,400) and Alaska (327,900). Contact Dr. George Hammond at ghammond@arizona.edu. The 2017 National Population Projections include a main series and three alternative scenarios. The short-term outlook for the state remains uncertain and dependent on the progress of the outbreak and scientific progress in generating effective therapeutics and a vaccine. You only have access to basic statistics. A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States. The world's . Note: Text in bold was updated at 10am on May 26, 2022. United Nations population projections are also included through the year 2035. Exhibit 2 shows the three scenarios for Arizona nonfarm jobs. Population in the states of the U.S. 2022, U.S. real Gross Domestic Product 2021, by state, U.S. real gross domestic product 2022, by state, U.S. state and local government outstanding debt 2020, by state. Both births and deaths are expected to rise during the forecast, but deaths increase at a faster pace. Census Bureau Releases New Population Projections for 30 Countries and Areas. This statistic is not included in your account. The states with the slowest housing growth were Rhode Island (0.2%), Illinois (0.2%) and West Virginia (0.3%). They are typically based on an estimated population consistent with the most recent decennial census and are produced using the cohort-component method. The seasonally-adjusted unemployment rate bounced up to 10.0%, but remained below the national rate at 11.1%. The short-term outlook for the state remains uncertain and dependent on the progress of the outbreak and scientific progress in generating effective therapeutics and a vaccine. More than 80 percent of Arizona's 2020 population increase moved into Greater Phoenix. Both births and deaths are expected to rise during the forecast, but deaths increase at a faster pace. The global human population reached 8.0 billion in mid-November 2022 from an estimated 2.5 billion people in 1950, adding 1 billion people since 2010 and 2 billion since 1998. The July U.S. forecast calls for real GDP to fall 35.5% (annualized rate) in the second quarter. Official websites use .gov The fastest-growing county was Rockwall County, Texas, which increased by 6.5% between July 1, 2020, and July 1, 2021, followed by Chambers County, Texas (5.7%); Jasper County, South Carolina (5.4%); Hays and Comal counties in Texas, and Morgan County, Georgia (5.2%) were tied for. Six cities crossed the 100,000 population mark in 2021: Bend, Oregon (102,059); Goodyear, Arizona (101,733); Buckeye, Arizona (101,315); Fishers, Indiana (101,171); Carmel, Indiana (100,777); and Tuscaloosa, Alabama (100,618). Browse our topics and subtopics to find information and data. The projections indicated that the numeric population growth in Arizona throughout the projection period (1997 to 2050) would be higher than in the period prior to the mid-1990s but that the population change would not rise much over the projection period, as seen in Table 3. Our surveys provide periodic and comprehensive statistics about the nation. Get full access to all features within our Business Solutions. Browse our collection of stories and more. The remaining three large cities experienced relatively small population growth. Utah experienced the nations fastest growth in housing units, with an increase of 2.7 percent between July 1, 2020, and July 1, 2021, followed by Idaho (2.5%) and Texas (2.0%). Georgetown was followed by Leander, Texas (10.1%); Queen Creek Town, Arizona (8.9%); Buckeye, Arizona (8.6%); and New Braunfels, Texas (8.3%). Even so, high unemployment keeps inflation low. While only 4% of all cities and towns had a population of 50,000 or more in 2021, collectively they contained 129.3 million people nearly 39% of the U.S. population, said Crystal Delb, a statistician in the Population Division at the Census Bureau. If you are an admin, please authenticate by logging in again. Profit from the additional features of your individual account. The state also adds 1.58 million jobs and $343 billion in real personal income during the forecast period. Yuma, Lake Havasu-Kingman, and Flagstaff were hit harder, with jobs down 7.1%, 9.0%, and 17.2%, respectively. This data is critical for government programs, policies, and decision-making. Overall, Arizona is on pace to recover to pre-pandemic levels of economic activity in 2021, probably well before the nation as a whole. That would put the states income gap back to levels last seen in the 2000s. During the next 30 years, Arizona population is forecast to rise by 2.81 million, hitting 10.1 million by 2050. The U.S. unemployment rate hits 8.6% on average in 2020 before falling to 6.3% in 2021 and 5.3% in 2022. U.S. nonfarm payroll jobs are forecast to fall 5.3% this year, then rebound in 2021 and 2022. The purpose of this document is to present information on how the results of the 2009 National Population Projections vary according to different net international migration assumptions and compare to the 2008 National Population Projections in terms of population size and growth, age structure, and race and Hispanic origin distribution. Annual growth slowed during the recession and has picked up in recent years, increasing from 1.1% in 2012 to 1.9% growth in 2019for the Phoenix MSA. Overall, Arizona is on pace to recover to pre-pandemic levels of economic activity in 2021, probably well before the nation as a whole. Additional projections files are available via the Census Bureau application programming interface (API).
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